https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.15494
Abstract:
"Generative AI is changing how software is produced and used. In vibe
coding, an AI agent builds software by selecting and assembling
open-source software (OSS), often without users directly reading
documentation, reporting bugs, or otherwise engaging with maintainers.
We study the equilibrium effects of vibe coding on the OSS ecosystem. We
develop a model with endogenous entry and heterogeneous project quality
in which OSS is a scalable input into producing more software. Users
choose whether to use OSS directly or through vibe coding. Vibe coding
raises productivity by lowering the cost of using and building on
existing code, but it also weakens the user engagement through which
many maintainers earn returns. When OSS is monetized only through direct
user engagement, greater adoption of vibe coding lowers entry and
sharing, reduces the availability and quality of OSS, and reduces
welfare despite higher productivity. Sustaining OSS at its current scale
under widespread vibe coding requires major changes in how maintainers
are paid."
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My thoughts:
For those who claim that
vibe coding will magically provide them with all the software they
want...there shall be consequences: A cornucopia of security breaches,
at the minimum; an inability to leverage new/emerging
languages/libraries; consigned to the most frequently used pattern of
how a solution is expressed - which may not be scalable, secure, or
performant.
However, more egregiously, methinks they doeth fundamentally misapprehend how LLM/GenAI coding assistant models are trained...
One word: Ouroboros
Two words: Model collapse
Three words: Attack Surface Explosion
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